W1 · Morning Brief
07:30
40%
10 Items
Result
Fixed
07:30
Bayern 3:0 Mainz (Matchday 23). —. No chance in München. Bayern dominant — Mainz never got into the game. Third defeat in a row.
Match Stats
Fixed
07:30
Bayern 3:0 Mainz — Match Statistics:
35.8%
Possession M05
2 : 8
Shots on Target
7 : 18
Total Shots
2 : 7
Corners
Mood
Variable
08:03
Resignation after the 0:3 in München. Fans worry about survival — drei Losses in Folge. Leverkusen auswärts becomes a fear game.
Injuries
Fixed
07:30
Caci (syndesmosis injury), Lee (muscular problems).
Form
Fixed
07:30
Saison: 5-7-11, 22 Punkte aus 23 Spielen. Last 5 Liga: L D L W L. Torbilanz: 26:38. Heimtabelle Platz 11. — away position 15..
Transfer
Variable
07:30
No winter transfers. Henriksen works with the existing squad — budget reserved for summer.
Table
Fixed
07:30
Platz 13 nach Matchday 23 — only 2 Punkte über relegation spot. Relegation nicht ausgeschlossen. Leverkusen auswärts fast aussichtslos — entscheidend werden die direkten Duelle.
Home / Away
Fixed
07:30
Mainz AUSWÄRTS 25/26
Table: 15.
Leverkusen HEIM 25/26
Table: —
H2H
Fixed
07:30
Direktvergleich Bundesliga (42 games): Mainz 9S 10U 23N, Goals 42:75. First Half: Mainz 1:2 Leverkusen (Matchday 10, 01.12.2025).
H2H Last 5
Fixed
07:30
01.12.25Mainz 1:2 B04N
11.05.25B04 3:0 MainzN
08.12.24Mainz 1:1 B04U
24.03.24B04 2:1 MainzN
03.11.23Mainz 0:3 B04N
Last 5: Mainz 0S 1U 4N · 0× in 5 H2H in Leverkusen
Key Stats
Fixed
07:30
0:3
No chance in München
3
Losses in Folge
26
Saisontore (Liga-Platz 15)
0.96
Punkte/Spiel
Mainz Overallbilanz all competitions 25/26: 6S 8U 12N, 28:42 Goals (26 games).
Early Odds
Fixed
07:30
Leverkusen vs Mainz (Sat 28.02.) — Opening odds:
Leverkusen
1.55
61.3%
Unentsch.
4.20
22.6%
Mainz
6.00
15.9%
Oracle
Fixed
07:30
Oracle 3-Source Comparison · Leverkusen vs Mainz:
| Quelle | Leverkusen | Unentsch. | Mainz | Vol / Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Di/Mi |
| Polymarket | 59¢ | 23¢ | 20¢ | $530 |
| Kalshi | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Mi/Do |
⚠️ Liquidity: LOW — Polymarket-Volumen $530. Pinnacle-Closing-Line ab ~Mittwoch als Wahrheitsreferenz.
Delta Check: Not available — only 1 of 3 sources live. Oracle table complete from ~Wed 25.02.
Season Markets
Fixed
07:30
Season market context: Mainz: Not listed in the relegation market, but only 2 points above relegation.
W2 · Midday Update
12:30
25%
4 Items planned
Preview
12:30
H2H am Standort, Gegner-Saisonprofil, Verletzungsstatus nach Training, Sperr-Check (Gelbe Karten). 4 Items planned.
W3 · Evening Brief
17:30
25%
4 Items planned
Preview
17:30
Pinnacle opening odds (if available), Polymarket/Kalshi update, key metric, Remaining schedule next 5 opponents. 4 Items planned.
W4 · Night Signal
21:00
10%
1 Item planned
Preview
21:00
CL-/Relegations-Mathematik, Value Signal (C+ Paywall). 1 Item planned.
Publishing · Monday (MD+2)
TIER 2 · 10 ITEMS
W1
07:30
Morning Brief · 40% ▸
W212:30Midday Update · 25%
W317:30Evening Brief · 25%
W421:00Night Signal · 10%
Split: 7 Fixed (70%) · 2 Variable (20%) · 1 Signal (10%)
Last Match · Matchday 23
Bayern — Mainz
Mainz
Sat 22.02. · 15:30 · Allianz Arena · 75.000
⚽ —
Next Match · Matchday 24
LOW
Leverkusen
2. · 48 Pts
14-6-3
vs
Mainz
13. · 22 Pts
5-7-11
🏟 BayArena
📅 Sat 28.02.
⏰ 15:30
Oracle · 3-Quellen-Status
PINNACLE · Wahrheitsreferenz
⏳ Linie erwartet ~Di/Wed 25.02.
POLYMARKET · Prediction Market
Leverkusen
59¢
Unentsch.
23¢
Mainz
20¢
Volume: $530
KALSHI · CFTC-reguliert
⏳ Markt erwartet ~Mi/Thu 26.02.
DELTA-CHECK: Not available (1/3 sources live)
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal · Thresholds
C+ PREMIER
| <3pp | No Signal | Märkte im Einklang |
| 3–5pp | 👁️ Watch | Watch |
| 5–10pp | ⚡ Trade | C+ Paywall |
| >10pp | 🔥 Strong | C+ Paywall |
| Arb | 🔒 Arb | C+ Paywall |
Preview Stats · Matchday 24
| Mainz | Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| Tabellenplatz | 13. | 2. |
| Punkte | 22 | 48 |
| Bilanz | 5-7-11 | 14-6-3 |
| Goals | 26:38 | 52:22 |
| Form (5) | NUNSN | NSSUS |
| Home/Away | A: 15. | H: — |
| Frühquote | 1.55 | 6.00 |
| Wahrsch. | 61.3% | 15.9% |
| Liquidität | LOW $530 Poly | |
API-Football · Polymarket · Sky · 23.02.2026
Squad Status
- Aus Caci syndesmosis injury
- Doubtful Lee muscular problems
API-Football · kicker.de · FotMob · 23.02.2026
Manager · Bo Henriksen
"Bayern are in a class of their own. We now need to win the games we can win."
DAZN · 22.02.2026
Data Pipeline · Sources
API-Football
Stats, Table, Form
Football-Data
H2H, Backup
Odds API
Pinnacle Lines
Polymarket
Match + Season
Kalshi
CFTC-reguliert
kicker.de
Squad, press conf, quotes
Allgemeine Zeitung
Mood, Transfer
ZERO HALLUCINATION · Nur API-Daten · Keine Fakten aus LLM-Wissen