Akte 1. FSV Mainz 05
DE
Intelligence

1. FSV Mainz 05

Prediction Intelligence
1. FSV Mainz 05

Live data for professional portfolio management, trading and predictions.

Position
9.
Points
0
Goal diff
0
Next match
Mainz vs SC Paderborn
Akte Mainz — Club-Dossier 1. FSV Mainz 05
Intelligence
Deutsch
At a glance

Mainz sit 9th after matchday 0 with 0 points (0W 0D 0L, goal diff 0). Last 5 form: (0/15 pts). Next opponent: SC Paderborn.

Bundesliga Table

Bundesliga table matchday 0
# Club P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Schalke 04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 BVB 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 Werder 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 Augsburg 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 Leipzig 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 Eintracht 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 Bayern 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 Gladbach 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 Mainz 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Union 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Paderborn 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 HSV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Hoffenheim 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Stuttgart 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Koeln 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Leverkusen 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Freiburg 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 Elversberg 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Top Scorers

Pinnacle Oracle

Mainz SC Paderborn
Home 1.68
Draw 3.98
Away 4.55
Source: Pinnacle Updated:
Mainz SC Paderborn
-- Days
-- Hrs
-- Min
Kickoff
Venue
MEWA Arena
Competition
Bundesliga

Form & Momentum

Mainz — Form & Home/Away

Last 5
Home
0 Pts
Record: 0-0-0 Goals: 0:0
Away
0 Pts
Record: 0-0-0 Goals: 0:0

The form of the last five matches is the most important leading indicator for short-term bets. A team on a three-match win streak is significantly underpriced when the odds movement hasn't yet caught up with the momentum. The Pinnacle Oracle weights this form at roughly 30 percent against table position (40 percent), home/away splits (20 percent) and opponent strength (10 percent).

Statistical Splits BETA

What actually moves Bayern's result — and what's myth. Bootstrap confidence intervals from 68 matches of the Kompany-Ära.

Split Group A Group B Δ ppg 95% CI p-value Significance
Home games vs. away games Home 1.26 ppg · n=34 Away 1.44 ppg · n=34 -0.18 [-0.77, 0.44] 0.59 ⚪
Versus top-6 opponents vs. rest of the league Vs top 6 1.13 ppg · n=24 Vs rest 1.48 ppg · n=44 -0.35 [-0.98, 0.30] 0.27 ⚪
With vs. without Kaishu Sano in the starting XI With Kaishu Sano 1.35 ppg · n=68 Without Kaishu Sano 0.00 ppg · n=0 +1.35 — — ⬜
With vs. without Jae-sung Lee in the starting XI With Jae-sung Lee 1.28 ppg · n=57 Without Jae-sung Lee 1.73 ppg · n=11 -0.45 [-1.32, 0.45] 0.34 🟡
With vs. without Phillipp Mwene in the starting XI With Phillipp Mwene 1.34 ppg · n=56 Without Phillipp Mwene 1.42 ppg · n=12 -0.08 [-0.84, 0.66] 0.86 🟡
With vs. without Dominik Kohr in the starting XI With Dominik Kohr 1.38 ppg · n=56 Without Dominik Kohr 1.25 ppg · n=12 +0.13 [-0.71, 0.91] 0.74 🟡
With vs. without Danny da Costa in the starting XI With Danny da Costa 1.33 ppg · n=55 Without Danny da Costa 1.46 ppg · n=13 -0.14 [-0.82, 0.52] 0.72 🟡
Heavy week (after UCL/intl. break) vs. normal week Heavy week 0.00 ppg · n=0 Normal week 1.35 ppg · n=68 -1.35 — — ⬜
After UCL midweek vs. without UCL before After UCL 0.00 ppg · n=0 No UCL 1.35 ppg · n=68 -1.35 — — ⬜
Full strength (0 absences) vs. 2+ key-player absences 0 absences 1.33 ppg · n=27 2+ absences 2.00 ppg · n=7 -0.67 [-1.66, 0.38] 0.21 🟡

Reading: 🟢 statistically significant · 🟡 indicative (sample or effect too small) · ⚪ no effect detectable · ⬜ untested

ppg = points per game (3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss). Δ ppg = difference in ppg between the two groups. 95% CI = bootstrap confidence interval (10,000 resamples). p-value < 0.05 = statistically significant at n ≥ 20.

Methodology: Single-Regime-Analyse (nur Kompany-Ära). xG fehlt im Plan und ist nicht enthalten. Bootstrap-CIs statt parametrischer Tests.
Not in dataset: xG, PPDA, Distance Covered

Myth Check BETA

What fans believe — and what the data says. Every myth is tested against real match data.

Refuted

"Bayern struggles against top-6 opponents"

Gegen Top 6: 1.125 ppg · gegen Rest: 1.477 ppg (Δ -0.352).

Prediction relevance: Top-6-Gegner haben keinen messbaren Sondereffekt.

Untested

"Midweek UCL games cost points"

Indikativ: Nach CL 0 ppg, ohne CL 1.353 ppg.

Prediction relevance: Kein klares Adjustment.

Refuted

"Home games are different"

Heim: 1.265 ppg · Auswärts: 1.441 ppg (Δ -0.176).

Prediction relevance: Heimvorteil ist nicht überdurchschnittlich.

Data Analysis

Auto-Generated Variante A

Bundesliga matchday 0: Schalke 04 lead with 0 points (0W 0D 0L, goal diff 0). Lead over BVB: 0 points. Mainz are 9th with 0 points. Last 5 form: . Next opponent: SC Paderborn.

This analysis rotates with every matchday through eight data-driven templates: league leadership, relegation battle, Champions League race, home/away splits, form trends, attack/defence, factual summary and overall view. Every statement is grounded in SportsMonks and Pinnacle data — no speculation, no hallucination.

What the data doesn't say

Table, form and odds show the status quo. They say nothing about whether a coach is on the verge of being sacked, a key player is injured, or the board is internally under pressure. This is exactly where the Predictions page comes in: there season markets (Polymarket), transfer rumours and schedule strength feed into the assessment — factors that don't show up in any standard statistic.

The 1. FSV Mainz 05 File in turn provides the historical context: which crises has the club survived, which not. Anyone moving money on Bundesliga markets needs all three layers — hard stats, forward markets and institutional memory.

Frequently Asked

Where do Mainz currently stand?
9th with 0 points after matchday 0 (0W 0D 0L, goal diff 0).
Who is Mainz's next opponent?
SC Paderborn, kickoff on 2026-08-29.
Will Mainz be relegated?
Mainz are currently 0 points clear of the relegation places.

Related

The data shows the status quo. What does this mean for the season?