Where do Mainz currently stand?

5th with 4 points after matchday 2 (1W 1D 0L, goal diff +5).

Who is Mainz's next opponent?

Eintracht, kickoff on 2026-09-12.

Who is the Bundesliga top scorer?

Younes Ebnoutalib (Eintracht) with 3 goals in the 28321 season.

Will Mainz be relegated?

Mainz are currently 4 points clear of the relegation places.

Mainz Intelligence Matchday 2: Standings, Splits

At a glance

Mainz sit 5th after matchday 2 with 4 points (1W 1D 0L, goal diff +5). Last 5 form: DW (4/15 pts). Next opponent: Eintracht (13th).

Bundesliga Table

Bundesliga table matchday 2
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Augsburg	2	2	0	0	7	1	+6	6
2	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	5	1	+4	6
3	BVB	2	2	0	0	5	2	+3	6
4	Elversberg	2	2	0	0	7	5	+2	6
5	Mainz	2	1	1	0	5	0	+5	4
6	Bayern	2	1	1	0	5	1	+4	4
7	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	6	3	+3	3
8	Leipzig	2	1	0	1	4	3	+1	3
9	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	5	6	-1	3
10	Werder	2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3
11	Koeln	2	1	0	1	4	6	-2	3
12	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1
13	Eintracht	2	0	1	1	4	7	-3	1
14	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	0	3	-3	1
15	Union	2	0	1	1	3	7	-4	1
16	Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	4	6	-2	0
17	Gladbach	2	0	0	2	3	7	-4	0
18	HSV	2	0	0	2	0	7	-7	0

Top Scorers

Bundesliga Top Scorers Season 28321

1

Younes Ebnoutalib

Eintracht · 22

3 Goals
2

Yuito Suzuki

Freiburg · 24

3 Goals
3

Patrik Schick

Leverkusen · 30

2 Goals
4

Serhou Guirassy

BVB · 30

2 Goals
5

Josha Vagnoman

Stuttgart · 25

2 Goals

#	Player	Club	Goals
6	Thijs Dallinga	Koeln	2
7	Maurice Krattenmacher	Elversberg	2
8	David Mokwa	Elversberg	2
9	Ridle Baku	Leipzig	2
10	Phillip Tietz	Mainz	2

Form & Momentum

Mainz — Form & Home/Away

Last 5

Home

1 Pts

Record: 0-1-0 Goals: 0:0

Away

3 Pts

Record: 1-0-0 Goals: 5:0

Last result: Win. Last 5 form: D-W.

The form of the last five matches is the most important leading indicator for short-term bets. A team on a three-match win streak is significantly underpriced when the odds movement hasn't yet caught up with the momentum. The Pinnacle Oracle weights this form at roughly 30 percent against table position (40 percent), home/away splits (20 percent) and opponent strength (10 percent).

Assists & Card Ranking

Bundesliga Top Assists

1

Josip Juranovic

Union · 31

2 Assists
2

Vladimír Coufal

Hoffenheim · 34

2 Assists
3

Marco Grüll

Werder · 28

2 Assists
4

Tidiam Gomis

Leipzig · 20

2 Assists
5

Ismael Saibari

Bayern · 25

2 Assists

#	Player	Club	Assists
6	Miguel Gutiérrez	Leverkusen	2
7	Joshua Kimmich	Bayern	2
8	Franck Honorat	Gladbach	2
9	Sheraldo Becker	Mainz	2
10	Jae-sung Lee	Mainz	1

Bundesliga Card Ranking (Yellow + Red×3)

1

Ron Schallenberg

Schalke 04 · 27

0 1
2

Samuele Inácio

BVB · 18

0 1
3

Phillipp Mwene

Mainz · 32

2 0
4

Ozan Kabak

Hoffenheim · 26

2 0
5

Ibrahim Maza

Leverkusen · 20

2 0

#	Player	Club	Y	Total
6	Zeno Van Den Bosch	Union	2	2
7	Dayot Upamecano	Bayern	1	1
8	Grischa Prömel	Stuttgart	1	1
9	Felix Uduokhai	Union	1	1
10	Amara Condé	Elversberg	1	1

Split	Group A	Group B	Δ ppg	95% CI	p-value	Significance
Home games vs. away games	Home 1.26 ppg · n=34	Away 1.44 ppg · n=34	-0.18	[-0.77, 0.44]	0.61	⚪
Versus top-6 opponents vs. rest of the league	Vs top 6 1.13 ppg · n=24	Vs rest 1.48 ppg · n=44	-0.35	[-0.98, 0.28]	0.28	⚪
With vs. without Kaishu Sano in the starting XI	With Kaishu Sano 1.35 ppg · n=68	Without Kaishu Sano 0.00 ppg · n=0	+1.35	—	—	⬜
With vs. without Jae-sung Lee in the starting XI	With Jae-sung Lee 1.28 ppg · n=57	Without Jae-sung Lee 1.73 ppg · n=11	-0.45	[-1.33, 0.47]	0.33	🟡
With vs. without Phillipp Mwene in the starting XI	With Phillipp Mwene 1.34 ppg · n=56	Without Phillipp Mwene 1.42 ppg · n=12	-0.08	[-0.86, 0.65]	0.87	🟡
With vs. without Dominik Kohr in the starting XI	With Dominik Kohr 1.38 ppg · n=56	Without Dominik Kohr 1.25 ppg · n=12	+0.13	[-0.71, 0.91]	0.76	🟡
With vs. without Danny da Costa in the starting XI	With Danny da Costa 1.33 ppg · n=55	Without Danny da Costa 1.46 ppg · n=13	-0.14	[-0.83, 0.53]	0.71	🟡
Heavy week (after UCL/intl. break) vs. normal week	Heavy week 0.00 ppg · n=0	Normal week 1.35 ppg · n=68	-1.35	—	—	⬜
After UCL midweek vs. without UCL before	After UCL 0.00 ppg · n=0	No UCL 1.35 ppg · n=68	-1.35	—	—	⬜
Full strength (0 absences) vs. 2+ key-player absences	0 absences 1.33 ppg · n=27	2+ absences 2.00 ppg · n=7	-0.67	[-1.64, 0.37]	0.20	🟡

Reading: 🟢 statistically significant · 🟡 indicative (sample or effect too small) · ⚪ no effect detectable · ⬜ untested

ppg = points per game (3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss). Δ ppg = difference in ppg between the two groups. 95% CI = bootstrap confidence interval (10,000 resamples). p-value < 0.05 = statistically significant at n ≥ 20.

Methodology: Single-Regime-Analyse (nur Kompany-Ära). xG fehlt im Plan und ist nicht enthalten. Bootstrap-CIs statt parametrischer Tests.
Not in dataset: xG, PPDA, Distance Covered

Refuted

"Bayern struggles against top-6 opponents"

Gegen Top 6: 1.125 ppg · gegen Rest: 1.477 ppg (Δ -0.352).

Prediction relevance: Top-6-Gegner haben keinen messbaren Sondereffekt.

Untested

"Midweek UCL games cost points"

Indikativ: Nach CL 0 ppg, ohne CL 1.353 ppg.

Prediction relevance: Kein klares Adjustment.

Refuted

"Home games are different"

Heim: 1.265 ppg · Auswärts: 1.441 ppg (Δ -0.176).

Prediction relevance: Heimvorteil ist nicht überdurchschnittlich.

Data Analysis

Champions League places after matchday 2: Augsburg (6), Freiburg (6), BVB (6), Elversberg (6). Mainz sit 2 points behind 4th. Europa League places: Mainz (4), Bayern (4).

This analysis rotates with every matchday through eight data-driven templates: league leadership, relegation battle, Champions League race, home/away splits, form trends, attack/defence, factual summary and overall view. Every statement is grounded in SportsMonks and Pinnacle data — no speculation, no hallucination.

What the data doesn't say

Table, form and odds show the status quo. They say nothing about whether a coach is on the verge of being sacked, a key player is injured, or the board is internally under pressure. This is exactly where the Predictions page comes in: there season markets (Polymarket), transfer rumours and schedule strength feed into the assessment — factors that don't show up in any standard statistic.

The 1. FSV Mainz 05 File in turn provides the historical context: which crises has the club survived, which not. Anyone moving money on Bundesliga markets needs all three layers — hard stats, forward markets and institutional memory.

Frequently Asked

Where do Mainz currently stand?: 5th with 4 points after matchday 2 (1W 1D 0L, goal diff +5).
Who is Mainz's next opponent?: Eintracht, kickoff on 2026-09-12.
Who is the Bundesliga top scorer?: Younes Ebnoutalib (Eintracht) with 3 goals in the 28321 season.
Will Mainz be relegated?: Mainz are currently 4 points clear of the relegation places.

The data shows the status quo. What does this mean for the season?

Predictions & Forecasts — title probability, transfers, schedule strength
The 1. FSV Mainz 05 File — history, scandals, triumphs

Prediction Intelligence
1. FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga Table

Top Scorers

Pinnacle Oracle