The 1. FSV Mainz 05 Files
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Predictions

1. FSV Mainz 05

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

Tools for professional traders.

Next Match
Mainz vs SC Paderborn
Kickoff
Sat 29 Aug, 13:30
Oracle
55.8% / 23.6% / 20.6%
Akte Mainz — Club-Dossier 1. FSV Mainz 05
Predictions
Deutsch
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Mainz's win probability against SC Paderborn?
The Pinnacle Oracle calculates 55.8% win probability for Mainz (home).
Where does Mainz stand in the table?
Mainz are 9th with 0 points after 0 matchdays. Goal difference: 0.
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does Mainz's probability come from — and what moves it?

Mainz vs SC Paderborn · Sat, 08/29, 01:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home%
Draw24%
Away%

Mainz: %

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • ⚪ Mainz home 0.0pp
Home%
Draw%
Away%

Mainz: % (0.0pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home55.8%
Draw23.6%
Away20.6%

Mainz: 55.8%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: pp —

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Source: Pinnacle via TheOddsAPI · Updated: Sat 25 Jul, 18:00

Mainz vs SC Paderborn Sat 29 Aug, 13:30
Mainz 55.8% 1.68
Draw 23.6% 3.98
SC Paderborn 20.6% 4.55
Spread Mainz -0.75 @ 1.88
Total O/U 2.75 @ 1.85 / 1.94
Margin: 6.63%

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 0

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Schalke 04 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 BVB 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 Werder 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 Augsburg 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 Leipzig 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 Eintracht 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 Bayern 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 Gladbach 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 Mainz 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Union 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Paderborn 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 HSV 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Hoffenheim 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Stuttgart 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Koeln 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Leverkusen 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Freiburg 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 Elversberg 0 0 0 0 0 0